Bitfinex predicts Bitcoin will rise to $125,000 in the summer of 2025

Analysts at the Bitfinex crypto exchange have expressed the opinion that if the US Federal Reserve System softens monetary policy and lowers the key rate, the Bitcoin rate may exceed $120,000–$125,000 in July of this year.

Experts note that one of the reasons for such an optimistic scenario could be the weakening of the US labor market. According to their assumption, the number of new jobs outside the agricultural sector will be between 125,000 and 130,000, which is significantly lower than the April figure of 177,000. Such data could strengthen investors' belief that inflation continues to decline, which, in turn, will support the growth of the first cryptocurrency.

According to experts, if the Bitcoin price can stay above $105,000, it will signal the start of a new upward movement, and then the asset may reach the range of $120,000–$150,000 in the coming weeks. At the same time, experts emphasize that the decline in activity in the labor market is just one of the factors that can trigger a “domino effect” and speed up the Fed’s decision-making on monetary policy adjustments. At the same time, analysts drew attention to a possible negative scenario: if the US dollar strengthens, this will create additional pressure on Bitcoin, and its price may temporarily test the level of $95,000–$97,000. However, it is in this range that signs of asset accumulation by large players are already observed, which may play a supporting role. Most market participants expect the Fed to keep the current key rate within 4.25–4.5% at least until the end of July, and the first decrease will be recorded no earlier than September.

In this regard, Bitfinex analysts predict that the price of Bitcoin will be in the range of $100,000–$125,000 in the next few months, remaining in the consolidation phase before the next stage of development, which will largely depend on the actions of the regulator and the general economic dynamics in the country.